what is Pakistan’s required margin of victory against England to reach World Cup 2023 semifinals?
Published on: November 11, 2023.
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On Saturday, 11 November, Pakistan will play their final group stage match of the 2023 World Cup against England at Eden Gardens in Kolkata.
This match holds significance for both teams, but for different reasons. England is aiming to finish in the top eight to secure qualification for the Champions Trophy in Pakistan in 2025. Meanwhile, Pakistan still has a chance to qualify for the semifinals with their four wins in eight matches so far. Afghanistan also has eight points, as did New Zealand until their victory over Sri Lanka on Thursday.
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What does Pakistan need to do to qualify for the World Cup 2023 semifinals against England?
Before the New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match, Pakistan and their fans were hoping for a Pakistani victory or a draw, which would have limited New Zealand to zero or one point, with a maximum of nine points. If this had happened, Pakistan could have secured qualification by defeating England and reaching 10 points, although there would still be a slim chance of Afghanistan overtaking them in net run rate.
More: Eden Gardens Pitch Report for Pakistan vs England [link]
However, Pakistan faced an unfavorable outcome in the New Zealand vs Sri Lanka match, as New Zealand won convincingly.
Here’s the current situation for Pakistan:
Case 1: If Pakistan bats first, they would need to defeat England by approximately 287 runs to surpass New Zealand’s net run rate. This margin of victory seems almost impossible, even considering England’s struggles in the tournament.
For example, if Pakistan scores 300 runs, they would need to bowl out England for 12 runs or less. If Pakistan scores 400 runs, they would need to bowl out England for 112 runs or less.
Case 2: If Pakistan bats second, their task becomes even more challenging. Even if they manage to bowl England out for just 50 runs, they would still need to chase down the target in 2.3 overs to surpass New Zealand.
Verdict: Realistically, Pakistan’s chances of qualifying for the World Cup are slim. If England bats first, Pakistan has no hope. Their only remaining hope is to bat first, score above 400 runs, and then restrict England to a low total. Although this outcome is highly unlikely, miracles can happen in cricket!
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More: Rishabh Pant injury update: Star wicket-keeper begins training [link]
Who will emerge as the winner of the 2023 World Cup?
India and Australia are considered among the favorites to win the 2023 World Cup. If you want to place your bet, check out the odds and make your prediction here! [link]
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